Be Beary Weary about Apple.

Scouting shows that earnings at Apple might drop the most since 2001. There’s a lot of volume with downward motion today... and it is my opinion that it will continue its decline.

Short Position added:

AAPL 400*246.13= -98,452

Mistake closed :

XNET bought 1000 @ 5.86 = $5,860
XNET SOLD 1000 @ 4.85 = $4,850

Loss = $ 1,010

*lesson * don’t buy at the top, this was a possible pump and dump..at least we got out quick.

Comments

Hope

The market doesn’t need specific and confirmed moves to bounce. It only needs a glimmer of what is possible. Yesterday’s rally was based only on the hope of a stimulus package being passed by Congress. It wasn’t actually done. Yet the largest rally in decades occurred , an almost 11% jump. This is ominous as it could easily reverse and crush the market even worse than before. I learned a valuable insight on Bear markets: Bear markets don’t end with optimism , they end in despair! I believe that the market will turn down once again yet it might be a slow steady grind instead of the leaps we have been seeing.

Positions opening

BABA - Alibaba 400 @ 177.40 JD - JD.com 292 @ 30.90 WMT - Walmart 1000 @ 119.45 Rationale: BABA had been showing very positive growth over the week as Washington and Beijing Seemed to have calmed the “trade war” and their were talks of eliminating the final tarriffs imposed by Trump . BABA has an earnings report coming up on November 1st that it is expected to easily beat. Resistance seems to be at around 178. The Yuan has shown a slight increase in value which should assist in the value of BABA and other Chinese assets as well. JD usually works in sympathy with Chinese stocks and showed a great rally at the beginning of the week. Resistance point is at about 31.75. WMT has shown a good growth pattern dating back to Approximately August 21,2019. Resistance point not detected. WMT should also grow with the lessening restrictions on China.

The importance of earnings beats.

I’ve have consistently seen gains of 2-3 % of those corporations reporting beating their earnings , especially those that report early. Where to get these reports as soon as they come out is going to be a question I need to answer. Today I saw a pre-market report of BABA beating their earnings and snatched up all I could at a relatively high entry point. I’m certain others saw the report minutes before I did which costed me a small gain. I also set a modest exit point that was met before I got the chance to react! I’m content with the gain but always saddened that the gains could have been higher. This is the perpetual cycle of self torture that the investor must endure. Pre market BUY BABA 350 @ 178.5 = 62,475 SELL BABA 350 @ 181.05 = 63,368 Gain= $893

Financial Cosmonaut

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